Carpenter Technology Corp CRS
Revenue Intelligence Report • 50 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15
Carpenter Technology Corp has a forecasted full-year revenue of $3.1B, a +9.8% year-over-year change, based on 50 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include SG&A (elasticity 1.06x). The ARDL model has 6.1% MAPE.
Investment Thesis
The econometric model achieves strong accuracy (6.1% MAPE), suggesting Carpenter Technology Corp's revenue trajectory is well-characterized by its spending patterns. Sales & marketing spend shows a 1.06x elasticity, suggesting effective go-to-market execution.
Next FY Revenue
$3.15B
+9.8% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
1.06x
Model Accuracy
6.1% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $716B vs the actual $728B — an error of 1.6%.
Note:
Carpenter Technology Corp does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $716B | $728B | $610B – $840B | -0.2% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $753B | $601B – $944B | +11.3% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $773B | $586B – $1020B | +6.3% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $788B | $572B – $1085B | +7.4% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $833B | $583B – $1192B | +14.4% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
Reading this chart:
Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.
Want this analysis for your portfolio?
I build custom revenue intelligence reports for investors and companies using SEC filing data, econometric modeling, and AI-powered insights.
Get in Touch