What is CRWV's forecasted revenue?

Coreweave, Inc is forecasted to generate $8.37B in FY revenue, representing +63.1% year-over-year growth.

How accurate is the CRWV revenue forecast model?

The ARDL model achieves 1.5% MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error). In a holdout test, it predicted $1.6B versus the actual $1.6B.

Coreweave, Inc CRWV

Revenue Intelligence Report • 8 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

The latest quarterly revenue stands at $1.572 billion, and eight quarters of data support a full-year forecast of $8.4 billion, a 63.1% year-over-year increase. A key revenue driver is SG&A efficiency, with every $1 of SG&A spending generating about $3.94 of long-run revenue, indicating strong ROI on operating expenditures. The model is linear with 1.5% MAPE, and a holdout test predicted $1.6B versus actual $1.6B (−0.2% error), reinforcing forecast reliability. The outlook remains robust, but investors should note the absence of R&D data and monitor whether SG&A-driven growth remains sustainable over the longer term.

Investment Thesis

Our ARDL model tracks Coreweave, Inc's revenue with exceptional precision (1.5% MAPE), indicating highly predictable cash flows. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $3.94 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.

Next FY Revenue

$8.37B

+63.1% YoY

SG&A Multiplier

$3.94 per $1

Model Accuracy

1.5% MAPE

Holdout validation: The model predicted $1.6B vs the actual $1.6B — an error of 0.2%.

Note: Coreweave, Inc does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q4 2025	$1.6B	$1.6B	$1.5B – $1.6B	+110.8%	✓ In range
Q2 2026	$1.8B		$1.7B – $1.8B	+81.6%
Q3 2026	$2.0B		$1.9B – $2.1B	+64.0%
Q4 2026	$2.2B		$2.1B – $2.3B	+60.9%
Q1 2027	$2.4B		$2.3B – $2.5B	+52.9%

How Spending Drives Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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