Curtiss-Wright Corporation CW

Revenue Intelligence Report • 66 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

Curtiss-Wright Corporation has a forecasted full-year revenue of $3.9B, a +10.5% year-over-year change, based on 66 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include SG&A (elasticity 1.31x). The ARDL model achieves strong accuracy at 4.0% MAPE.

Investment Thesis

The econometric model achieves strong accuracy (4.0% MAPE), suggesting Curtiss-Wright Corporation's revenue trajectory is well-characterized by its spending patterns. R&D spending currently shows a negative elasticity (-0.02x), which can indicate heavy investment in long-cycle initiatives not yet reflected in revenue. Sales & marketing spend shows a 1.31x elasticity, suggesting effective go-to-market execution.

Next FY Revenue
$3.87B
+10.5% YoY
R&D Elasticity
-0.02x
SG&A Elasticity
1.31x
Model Accuracy
4.0% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $0.9B vs the actual $0.9B — an error of 5.0%.
⚠ Model limitation: This company shows negative spending multipliers, meaning increases in spending have not directly translated into revenue growth. This typically occurs with commodity-driven companies or hypergrowth companies.

Revenue Forecast

CW Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $0.9B $0.9B $0.8B – $1.0B +9.1% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $0.9B $0.8B – $1.0B +12.4%
Q3 2026 $1.0B $0.8B – $1.2B +10.6%
Q4 2026 $1.0B $0.8B – $1.2B +12.1%
Q1 2027 $1.0B $0.8B – $1.3B +7.3%

How Spending Drives Revenue

CW Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

Want this analysis for your portfolio?

I build custom revenue intelligence reports for investors and companies using SEC filing data, econometric modeling, and AI-powered insights.

Get in Touch

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings. Model: ARDL (log-log) with 66 quarters. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.