Dominion Energy, Inc. D
Revenue Intelligence Report • 70 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15
Dominion Energy, Inc. has a forecasted full-year revenue of $15B, a -6.6% year-over-year change, based on 70 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include SG&A (elasticity 0.59x). The ARDL model has 6.2% MAPE.
Investment Thesis
The econometric model achieves strong accuracy (6.2% MAPE), suggesting Dominion Energy, Inc.'s revenue trajectory is well-characterized by its spending patterns. Sales & marketing spend shows a 0.59x elasticity, suggesting effective go-to-market execution.
Next FY Revenue
$15.4B
-6.6% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
0.59x
Model Accuracy
6.2% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $3.7B vs the actual $4.1B — an error of 9.5%.
Note:
Dominion Energy, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | $4.1B | $3.2B – $4.3B | +8.9% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $4.0B | $3.3B – $5.0B | -0.7% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $3.6B | $2.8B – $4.6B | -5.5% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $4.1B | $3.0B – $5.5B | -10.1% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $3.7B | $2.7B – $5.2B | -9.4% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
Reading this chart:
Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.
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