What is EOG's forecasted revenue?

Eog Resources, Inc. is forecasted to generate $33.2B in next-four-quarter revenue, representing +22.8% year-over-year growth.

How accurate is the EOG revenue forecast model?

The model has 18.0% training MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error). In a holdout test, it predicted $7.6B versus the actual $8.6B.

Eog Resources, Inc. EOG

Revenue Intelligence Report • 73 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-10-14 • Data through 2026-06-30

Eog Resources, Inc.'s latest quarterly revenue is $8.6B for the period ending 2026-06-30. The model projects $33.2B across the next four quarters (+22.8% versus the preceding four quarters). The forecast uses G&A data; model selection and estimation exclude the latest quarter, whose retrospective holdout error is 11.3%. These are statistical associations, not estimates of the causal effect of spending.

Investment Thesis

The ARDL forecast is based on reported revenue and G&A data through 2026-06-30. Training MAPE measures fit to historical data; the separately reported holdout error measures a withheld quarter. Spending coefficients describe associations and do not establish causation.

Next 4 Quarters

$33.2B

+22.8% YoY

G&A Multiplier

$38.49 per $1

Training Fit

18.0% MAPE

Retrospective holdout (Q2 FY2026): The model predicted $7.65B vs the actual $8.62B — an error of 11.3%.
Retrospective one-quarter holdout: model fitting and selection exclude this quarter. Historical inputs use the latest available restatements, so this is not a preserved real-time forecast.

Note: The current filings use G&A (GeneralAndAdministrativeExpense). Spending estimates refer to this expense measure, not separately reported SG&A.

Note: Eog Resources, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. The model uses the available expense measure without a separate R&D term.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q2 FY2026 Period end 2026-06-30	$7.65B	$8.62B	$6.13B–$9.17B	+39.6%	✓ In range
Q3 FY2026 Period end 2026-09-30	$7.97B		$5.82B–$10.12B	+36.3%
Q4 FY2026 Period end 2026-12-31	$7.86B		$5.23B–$10.49B	+39.5%
Q1 FY2027 Period end 2027-03-31	$8.17B		$5.14B–$11.21B	+18.1%
Q2 FY2027 Period end 2027-06-30	$9.19B		$5.80B–$12.58B	+6.6%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Eog Resources, Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.

Fiscal Quarter	Seasonal Factor	vs Trend	Interpretation	Obs.
FQ1 (Jan–Mar)	1.0161	+1.6%	In line with trend	17
FQ2 (Apr–Jun)	0.9585	-4.2%	-4.2% below trend	17
FQ3 (Jul–Sep)	0.968	-3.2%	-3.2% below trend	17
FQ4 (Oct–Dec)	1.0189	+1.9%	In line with trend	17

Spending and Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue association per $1 of spending over subsequent quarters. These estimates describe historical associations and do not establish causation.

Time-Varying Spending Associations

Time-varying analysis: A penalized spline model (GAM) tracks the association between log spending and log revenue over 73 quarters. Its coefficients describe conditional historical associations, not causal returns on spending.
Current G&A elasticity: -0.5104x
The model-term chart shows relative absolute term magnitudes. Its percentages are not shares of revenue or causal contributions to growth.

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