Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. HII

Revenue Intelligence Report • 62 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. has a forecasted full-year revenue of $12B, a -1.1% year-over-year change, based on 62 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include SG&A (elasticity 0.99x). The ARDL model achieves strong accuracy at 3.7% MAPE.

Investment Thesis

The econometric model achieves strong accuracy (3.7% MAPE), suggesting Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.'s revenue trajectory is well-characterized by its spending patterns. Sales & marketing spend shows a 0.99x elasticity, suggesting effective go-to-market execution.

Next FY Revenue
$12.4B
-1.1% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
0.99x
Model Accuracy
3.7% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $3.1B vs the actual $3.5B — an error of 10.1%.
Note: Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

HII Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $3.1B $3.5B $2.9B – $3.4B +4.0% ✗ Outside range
Q2 2026 $3.0B $2.6B – $3.4B +9.3%
Q3 2026 $3.1B $2.6B – $3.6B +0.4%
Q4 2026 $3.2B $2.6B – $3.8B -1.3%
Q1 2027 $3.1B $2.5B – $3.8B -10.3%

How Spending Drives Revenue

HII Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings. Model: ARDL (log-log) with 62 quarters. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.