Kinder Morgan, Inc. KMI

Revenue Intelligence Report • 62 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

Revenue is driven by the company’s core midstream operations, with the latest quarterly revenue around $4.51 billion and a full-year forecast near $17.0 billion, down about 1.7% year over year. The SG&A spend appears highly efficient, with $1 of SG&A generating $16.22 in long-run revenue, indicating a strong ROI on operating expenditures. The forecasting uses a linear model trained on 62 quarters and shows 8.0% MAPE, with a holdout test predicting $4.10B versus $4.50B actual (about 8.7% error), signaling moderate predictive precision. Overall, the outlook remains stable: a solid revenue base and efficient cost structure support a cautious but favorable near-term trajectory despite the modest YoY decline.

Investment Thesis

The econometric model achieves strong accuracy (8.0% MAPE), suggesting Kinder Morgan, Inc.'s revenue trajectory is well-characterized by its spending patterns. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $16.22 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.

Next FY Revenue
$16.6B
-1.7% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$16.22 per $1
Model Accuracy
8.0% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $4.1B vs the actual $4.5B — an error of 8.7%.
Note: Kinder Morgan, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

KMI Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $4.1B $4.5B $3.3B – $5.0B +3.2% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $4.1B $2.9B – $5.3B -2.5%
Q3 2026 $4.1B $2.7B – $5.6B +2.6%
Q4 2026 $4.2B $2.5B – $5.9B +0.5%
Q1 2027 $4.2B $2.3B – $6.1B -7.0%

How Spending Drives Revenue

KMI Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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