Nvent Electric Plc NVT

Revenue Intelligence Report • 38 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-10-14 • Data through 2026-06-30

Nvent Electric Plc's latest quarterly revenue is $1.5B for the period ending 2026-06-30. The model projects $6.7B across the next four quarters (+38.3% versus the preceding four quarters). The forecast uses SG&A data; model selection and estimation exclude the latest quarter, whose retrospective holdout error is 5.9%. These are statistical associations, not estimates of the causal effect of spending.

Investment Thesis

The GAM forecast is based on reported revenue and SG&A data through 2026-06-30. Training MAPE measures fit to historical data; the separately reported holdout error measures a withheld quarter. Spending coefficients describe associations and do not establish causation.

Next 4 Quarters
$6.69B
+38.3% YoY
R&D Multiplier
$9.59 per $1
SG&A Multiplier
$6.95 per $1
Training Fit
3.0% MAPE
Retrospective holdout (Q2 FY2026): The model predicted $1.38B vs the actual $1.47B — an error of 5.9%.
Retrospective one-quarter holdout: model fitting and selection exclude this quarter. Historical inputs use the latest available restatements, so this is not a preserved real-time forecast.

Revenue Forecast

NVT Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q2 FY2026
Period end 2026-06-30		 $1.38B $1.47B $1.23B–$1.55B +43.8% ✓ In range
Q3 FY2026
Period end 2026-09-30		 $1.50B $1.33B–$1.69B +42.0%
Q4 FY2026
Period end 2026-12-31		 $1.48B $1.32B–$1.67B +38.9%
Q1 FY2027
Period end 2027-03-31		 $1.71B $1.49B–$1.96B +37.4%
Q2 FY2027
Period end 2027-06-30		 $2.00B $1.69B–$2.36B +36.0%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Nvent Electric Plc's systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Jan–Mar) 0.9781 -2.2% In line with trend 10
FQ2 (Apr–Jun) 1.0122 +1.2% In line with trend 9
FQ3 (Jul–Sep) 1.0072 +0.7% In line with trend 9
FQ4 (Oct–Dec) 1.0121 +1.2% In line with trend 9

Spending and Revenue

NVT Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue association per $1 of spending over subsequent quarters. These estimates describe historical associations and do not establish causation.

Time-Varying Spending Associations

Time-varying analysis: A penalized spline model (GAM) tracks the association between log spending and log revenue over 38 quarters. Its coefficients describe conditional historical associations, not causal returns on spending.
Current SG&A elasticity: 1.1413x • R&D elasticity: -0.0562x
The model-term chart shows relative absolute term magnitudes. Its percentages are not shares of revenue or causal contributions to growth.
Enhanced forecast: The time-varying model (GAM) was selected using training fit, before evaluating the withheld quarter. Its holdout error is -5.9%.

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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings. SEC source data. Forecast model: GAM; spending associations: ARDL (linear) with 38 quarters. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.