Restaurant Brands International Inc. QSR
Revenue Intelligence Report • 10 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15
Restaurant Brands International Inc. has a forecasted full-year revenue of $9.8B, a +3.7% year-over-year change, based on 10 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include SG&A ($14.30 per $1). The ARDL model has 6.2% MAPE.
Investment Thesis
The econometric model achieves strong accuracy (6.2% MAPE), suggesting Restaurant Brands International Inc.'s revenue trajectory is well-characterized by its spending patterns. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $14.30 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.
Next FY Revenue
$9.79B
+3.7% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$14.30 per $1
Model Accuracy
6.2% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $2.4B vs the actual $2.5B — an error of 2.6%.
Note:
Restaurant Brands International Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B | $2.5B | $2.1B – $2.7B | +4.6% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | $2.0B – $2.8B | +14.7% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | $1.9B – $2.9B | +1.1% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $2.5B | $1.9B – $3.0B | +0.3% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $2.5B | $1.8B – $3.1B | +0.4% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
Reading this chart:
Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.
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