What is WPC's forecasted revenue?

W. P. Carey Inc. is forecasted to generate $1.78B in next-four-quarter revenue, representing -0.9% year-over-year growth.

How accurate is the WPC revenue forecast model?

The model has 6.5% training MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error). In a holdout test, it predicted $0.4B versus the actual $0.5B.

W. P. Carey Inc. WPC

Revenue Intelligence Report • 54 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-10-14 • Data through 2026-06-30

W. P. Carey Inc.'s latest quarterly revenue is $461M for the period ending 2026-06-30. The model projects $1.8B across the next four quarters (-0.9% versus the preceding four quarters). The forecast uses G&A data; model selection and estimation exclude the latest quarter, whose retrospective holdout error is 2.4%. These are statistical associations, not estimates of the causal effect of spending.

Investment Thesis

The ARDL forecast is based on reported revenue and G&A data through 2026-06-30. Training MAPE measures fit to historical data; the separately reported holdout error measures a withheld quarter. Spending coefficients describe associations and do not establish causation.

Next 4 Quarters

$1.78B

-0.9% YoY

G&A Multiplier

$3.03 per $1

Training Fit

6.5% MAPE

Retrospective holdout (Q2 FY2026): The model predicted $449.9M vs the actual $461.1M — an error of 2.4%.
Retrospective one-quarter holdout: model fitting and selection exclude this quarter. Historical inputs use the latest available restatements, so this is not a preserved real-time forecast.

Note: The current filings use G&A (GeneralAndAdministrativeExpense). Spending estimates refer to this expense measure, not separately reported SG&A.

Note: W. P. Carey Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. The model uses the available expense measure without a separate R&D term.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q2 FY2026 Period end 2026-06-30	$449.9M	$461.1M	$402.2M–$497.6M	+4.4%	✓ In range
Q3 FY2026 Period end 2026-09-30	$444.5M		$377.1M–$512.0M	+3.1%
Q4 FY2026 Period end 2026-12-31	$444.0M		$361.4M–$526.6M	-0.1%
Q1 FY2027 Period end 2027-03-31	$445.4M		$350.0M–$540.8M	-2.0%
Q2 FY2027 Period end 2027-06-30	$441.2M		$334.5M–$547.8M	-4.3%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture W. P. Carey Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.

Fiscal Quarter	Seasonal Factor	vs Trend	Interpretation	Obs.
FQ1 (Jan–Mar)	0.9759	-2.4%	In line with trend	13
FQ2 (Apr–Jun)	0.9994	-0.1%	In line with trend	12
FQ3 (Jul–Sep)	1.0075	+0.8%	In line with trend	12
FQ4 (Oct–Dec)	1.016	+1.6%	In line with trend	12

Spending and Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue association per $1 of spending over subsequent quarters. These estimates describe historical associations and do not establish causation.

Time-Varying Spending Associations

Time-varying analysis: A penalized spline model (GAM) tracks the association between log spending and log revenue over 54 quarters. Its coefficients describe conditional historical associations, not causal returns on spending.
Current G&A elasticity: 0.1984x
The model-term chart shows relative absolute term magnitudes. Its percentages are not shares of revenue or causal contributions to growth.

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