Vistra Corp. VST
Revenue Intelligence Report • 37 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
Vistra Corp. demonstrates a strong correlation between its SG&A spending and revenue growth, with a 1% increase in SG&A leading to a 1.07% rise in revenue, indicating effective allocation of resources. Despite a recent holdout test predicting a revenue of $5195M against an actual $4805M, the company is poised for significant growth with a fiscal year forecast of $23B in revenue, reflecting a robust 29.9% year-over-year increase. The model's 19.2% MAPE suggests room for improvement in predictive accuracy, yet the underlying trends indicate a positive outlook for financial investors. Overall, the company's strategic spending and revenue elasticity position it favorably for continued expansion in the market.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $5B | $5B | $3B – $9B | +41.9% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $5B | $3B – $12B | +27.4% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $6B | $2B – $14B | +49.5% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $6B | $2B – $17B | +21.5% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $6B | $2B – $20B | +25.1% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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