Henry Schein, Inc. HSIC

Revenue Intelligence Report • 48 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Revenue growth is primarily driven by strategic investments in selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, with a 1% increase in SG&A resulting in a 0.75% increase in revenue, highlighting the effectiveness of these expenditures. The company has demonstrated a solid track record, with a recent holdout test showing only a 5.2% prediction error, reflecting a reliable model for forecasting. However, the FY forecast indicates a slight decline in revenue of 2.4% year-over-year, suggesting potential challenges ahead. Investors should consider the company's ability to leverage its SG&A investments to navigate this downturn and drive future growth.

Next FY Revenue
$12.86B
-2.4% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
0.75x
Model Accuracy
7.1% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $3B vs the actual $3B — an error of 5.2%.
Note: Henry Schein, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

HSIC Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $3B $3B $2B – $5B +2.1% ✓ In range
Q1 2026 $3B $2B – $6B +2.4%
Q2 2026 $3B $2B – $6B -0.5%
Q3 2026 $3B $1B – $7B -4.0%
Q4 2026 $3B $1B – $8B -7.3%

How Spending Drives Revenue

HSIC Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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