Factset Research Systems Inc. FDS

Revenue Intelligence Report • 60 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

Revenue is driven by SG&A spending, with a log-log model showing elasticity of 0.72, meaning a 1% increase in SG&A is associated with a 0.72% rise in revenue. The approach demonstrates high predictive accuracy, with a MAPE of 1.1% and a holdout test error of 1.2% (predicted 601M vs actual 608M). The forecast for the full year calls for $2.547B in revenue, up 9.2% year over year, signaling solid top-line growth. ROI of SG&A spending is meaningful but sub-linear given the 0.72 elasticity, so investments should be evaluated on efficiency and margins; no R&D data is available to assess development ROI.

Investment Thesis

Our ARDL model tracks Factset Research Systems Inc.'s revenue with exceptional precision (1.1% MAPE), indicating highly predictable cash flows. Sales & marketing spend shows a 0.72x elasticity, suggesting effective go-to-market execution.

Next FY Revenue
$2.55B
+9.2% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
0.72x
Model Accuracy
1.1% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $601B vs the actual $608B — an error of 1.2%.
Note: Factset Research Systems Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

FDS Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q3 2025 $601B $608B $582B – $620B +8.7% ✓ In range
Q4 2025 $615B $588B – $643B +8.1%
Q1 2026 $629B $596B – $665B +10.3%
Q2 2026 $644B $604B – $686B +10.0%
Q3 2026 $659B $614B – $708B +8.4%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Factset Research Systems Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Sep–Nov) 1.0007 +0.1% In line with trend 16
FQ2 (Dec–Feb) 0.9938 -0.6% In line with trend 16
FQ3 (Mar–May) 0.9989 -0.1% In line with trend 16
FQ4 (Jun–Aug) 1.0029 +0.3% In line with trend 11

How Spending Drives Revenue

FDS Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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