Bristol-Myers Squibb Company BMY

Revenue Intelligence Report • 70 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Bristol-Myers Squibb's revenue is significantly driven by its investments in research and development (R&D) and selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, with elasticity estimates indicating that a 1% increase in R&D leads to a 1.16% revenue boost and a 1% increase in SG&A results in a 1.38% increase. The company's recent quarterly revenue of $12.5 billion demonstrates the effectiveness of its spending strategies, supported by a low 4.3% MAPE in model accuracy and a close holdout test prediction. Looking ahead, the forecasted FY revenue of $49 billion reflects a solid 1.4% year-over-year growth, suggesting a positive outlook for investors as the company continues to leverage its investments for sustainable growth.

Next FY Revenue
$48.87B
+1.4% YoY
R&D Elasticity
1.16x
SG&A Elasticity
1.38x
Model Accuracy
4.3% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $12B vs the actual $13B — an error of 2.7%.

Revenue Forecast

BMY Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $12B $13B $11B – $14B -1.4% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $12B $10B – $15B +8.9%
Q3 2026 $12B $10B – $15B -0.4%
Q4 2026 $12B $10B – $16B +0.0%
Q1 2027 $12B $9B – $16B -2.2%

How Spending Drives Revenue

BMY Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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