Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM
Revenue Intelligence Report • 7 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc has a forecasted full-year revenue of $1.1B, a -33.0% year-over-year change, based on 7 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include SG&A (elasticity 3.18x). The ARDL model has 13.0% MAPE.
Investment Thesis
At 13.0% MAPE, the model captures Martin Marietta Materials, Inc's broad revenue trajectory, though quarterly variability suggests sensitivity to external factors. Sales & marketing spend shows a 3.18x elasticity, suggesting effective go-to-market execution.
Next FY Revenue
$1.10B
-33.0% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
3.18x
Model Accuracy
13.0% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $368B vs the actual $328B — an error of 12.2%.
Note:
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2011 | $368B | $328B | $277B – $489B | +7.9% | ✓ In range |
| Q3 2011 | $303B | $203B – $454B | -39.9% | ||
| Q4 2011 | $286B | $175B – $469B | -43.8% | ||
| Q1 2012 | $264B | $149B – $468B | -11.3% | ||
| Q2 2012 | $245B | $129B – $464B | -25.3% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
Reading this chart:
Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.
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