What is A's forecasted revenue?

Agilent Technologies, Inc. is forecasted to generate $7.42B in FY revenue, representing +7.8% year-over-year growth.

How accurate is the A revenue forecast model?

The ARDL model achieves 3.0% MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error). In a holdout test, it predicted $1.7B versus the actual $1.8B.

Agilent Technologies, Inc. A

Revenue Intelligence Report • 53 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

Under the model, SG&A spending is a positive driver of long-run revenue, with a ROI of about 4.78 in revenue per dollar, while R&D spending is modeled as a negative driver, subtracting roughly 7.10 in long-run revenue per dollar. The latest quarterly revenue came in at $1.798 billion. The holdout test produced a forecast of $1.7 billion versus actual $1.8 billion (5.1% error), with an overall MAPE of 3.0%. The FY revenue forecast is $7.4 billion, up 7.8% year over year, signaling continued growth but with a spend mix that emphasizes SG&A over R&D in this framework.

Investment Thesis

The econometric model achieves strong accuracy (3.0% MAPE), suggesting Agilent Technologies, Inc.'s revenue trajectory is well-characterized by its spending patterns. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $4.78 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.

Next FY Revenue

$7.42B

+7.8% YoY

R&D Multiplier

$-7.10 per $1

SG&A Multiplier

$4.78 per $1

Model Accuracy

3.0% MAPE

Holdout validation: The model predicted $1.7B vs the actual $1.8B — an error of 5.1%.

⚠ Model limitation: This company shows negative spending multipliers, meaning increases in spending have not directly translated into revenue growth. This typically occurs with commodity-driven companies or hypergrowth companies.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q4 2025	$1.7B	$1.8B	$1.6B – $1.8B	+8.1%	✓ In range
Q1 2026	$1.8B		$1.7B – $2.0B	+8.4%
Q2 2026	$1.8B		$1.6B – $2.0B	+9.6%
Q3 2026	$1.9B		$1.7B – $2.1B	+7.4%
Q4 2026	$1.9B		$1.7B – $2.1B	+5.9%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Agilent Technologies, Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.

Fiscal Quarter	Seasonal Factor	vs Trend	Interpretation	Obs.
FQ1 (Sep–Nov)	1.0	+0.0%	In line with trend	0
FQ2 (Dec–Feb)	1.0073	+0.7%	In line with trend	17
FQ3 (Mar–May)	0.9969	-0.3%	In line with trend	16
FQ4 (Jun–Aug)	1.011	+1.1%	In line with trend	16

How Spending Drives Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

Want this analysis for your portfolio?

I build custom revenue intelligence reports for investors and companies using SEC filing data, econometric modeling, and AI-powered insights.

Get in Touch

More in Healthcare

VRTX BDX DHR GEHC LLY ABT UNH RMD