Eqt Corporation EQT
Revenue Intelligence Report • 36 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15
Eqt Corporation has a forecasted full-year revenue of $10B, a +16.4% year-over-year change, based on 36 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include SG&A ($24.84 per $1). The ARDL model has 53.8% MAPE.
Investment Thesis
At 53.8% MAPE, the model captures Eqt Corporation's broad revenue trajectory, though quarterly variability suggests sensitivity to external factors. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $24.84 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.
Next FY Revenue
$10.1B
+16.4% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$24.84 per $1
Model Accuracy
53.8% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $2.2B vs the actual $2.4B — an error of 8.4%.
Note:
Eqt Corporation does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $2.2B | $2.4B | $0.4B – $4.0B | +34.6% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B | $-0.3B – $4.8B | +30.3% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $2.5B | $-0.6B – $5.6B | -2.2% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $2.6B | $-1.0B – $6.2B | +32.4% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $2.7B | $-1.4B – $6.8B | +13.1% |
Seasonal Factors
Multiplicative seasonal adjustment:
These factors capture Eqt Corporation's systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model.
A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below.
Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
| Fiscal Quarter | Seasonal Factor | vs Trend | Interpretation | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FQ1 (Sep–Nov) | 0.8821 | -11.8% | -11.8% below trend | 8 |
| FQ2 (Dec–Feb) | 1.1814 | +18.1% | +18.1% above trend | 8 |
| FQ3 (Mar–May) | 0.9249 | -7.5% | -7.5% below trend | 8 |
| FQ4 (Jun–Aug) | 1.0716 | +7.2% | +7.2% above trend | 8 |
How Spending Drives Revenue
Reading this chart:
Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.
Want this analysis for your portfolio?
I build custom revenue intelligence reports for investors and companies using SEC filing data, econometric modeling, and AI-powered insights.
Get in Touch