Hasbro, Inc. HAS

Revenue Intelligence Report • 66 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-10-14 • Data through 2026-06-28

Hasbro, Inc.'s latest quarterly revenue is $1.1B for the period ending 2026-06-28. The model projects $7.2B across the next four quarters (+45.6% versus the preceding four quarters). The forecast uses SG&A data; model selection and estimation exclude the latest quarter, whose retrospective holdout error is 8.2%. These are statistical associations, not estimates of the causal effect of spending.

Investment Thesis

The ARDL forecast is based on reported revenue and SG&A data through 2026-06-28. Training MAPE measures fit to historical data; the separately reported holdout error measures a withheld quarter. Spending coefficients describe associations and do not establish causation.

Next 4 Quarters
$7.24B
+45.6% YoY
R&D Elasticity
1.91x
SG&A Elasticity
0.21x
Training Fit
10.4% MAPE
Retrospective holdout (Q2 FY2026): The model predicted $1.23B vs the actual $1.14B — an error of 8.2%.
Retrospective one-quarter holdout: model fitting and selection exclude this quarter. Historical inputs use the latest available restatements, so this is not a preserved real-time forecast.

Revenue Forecast

HAS Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q2 FY2026
Period end 2026-06-28		 $1.23B $1.14B $929.4M–$1.64B +25.7% ✓ In range
Q3 FY2026
Period end 2026-09-28		 $1.92B $1.29B–$2.87B +38.7%
Q4 FY2026
Period end 2026-12-28		 $2.22B $1.36B–$3.62B +53.5%
Q1 FY2027
Period end 2027-03-28		 $1.33B $756.0M–$2.34B +33.0%
Q2 FY2027
Period end 2027-06-28		 $1.77B $940.8M–$3.33B +55.3%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Hasbro, Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Jan–Mar) 0.9941 -0.6% In line with trend 16
FQ2 (Apr–Jun) 0.977 -2.3% In line with trend 15
FQ3 (Jul–Sep) 1.0651 +6.5% +6.5% above trend 15
FQ4 (Oct–Dec) 0.9961 -0.4% In line with trend 15

Spending and Revenue

HAS Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue association with a 1% change in spending over subsequent quarters. These estimates describe historical associations and do not establish causation.

Time-Varying Spending Associations

Time-varying analysis: A penalized spline model (GAM) tracks the association between log spending and log revenue over 66 quarters. Its coefficients describe conditional historical associations, not causal returns on spending.
Current SG&A elasticity: 0.3437x • R&D elasticity: 0.8984x
The model-term chart shows relative absolute term magnitudes. Its percentages are not shares of revenue or causal contributions to growth.

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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings. SEC source data. Forecast model: ARDL; spending associations: ARDL (log-log) with 66 quarters. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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