The Hershey Company HSY
Revenue Intelligence Report • 67 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
The Hershey Company demonstrates a strong correlation between its selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses and revenue growth, with a 1% increase in SG&A resulting in a 0.99% rise in revenue, indicating effective investment in these areas. Despite a recent holdout test revealing an 11.8% prediction error, the company maintains a manageable 3.7% mean absolute percentage error in its forecasting model. For the fiscal year, Hershey anticipates a slight revenue decline of 0.5% year-over-year, projecting $12 billion in revenue, which suggests a cautious outlook amidst competitive pressures. Investors should monitor the company's ability to leverage its SG&A spending for sustained revenue growth in a challenging market environment.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $3B | $3B | $2B – $3B | -5.6% | ✗ Outside range |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | $3B – $3B | +4.7% | ||
| Q2 2026 | $3B | $2B – $3B | +6.6% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $3B | $3B – $4B | -2.6% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $3B | $2B – $3B | -9.2% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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