What is IEX's forecasted revenue?

Idex Corp is forecasted to generate $3.81B in FY revenue, representing +10.1% year-over-year growth.

How accurate is the IEX revenue forecast model?

The ARDL model achieves 2.1% MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error). In a holdout test, it predicted $902B versus the actual $899B.

Idex Corp IEX

Revenue Intelligence Report • 66 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

Revenue is moderately sensitive to SG&A spending, with a 1% increase in SG&A associated with a 0.85% rise in revenue, per the log-log model. The model uses 66 quarters of data and achieves 2.1% MAPE, with a holdout test predicting 902M versus actual 899M (−0.3% error). The latest quarterly revenue was 899M; the FY forecast is 3,808M, up 10.1% year over year. This SG&A–driven revenue leverage implies a positive ROI on spending, supporting a constructive outlook if margins stay stable and forecast growth persists.

Investment Thesis

Our ARDL model tracks Idex Corp's revenue with exceptional precision (2.1% MAPE), indicating highly predictable cash flows. Sales & marketing spend shows a 0.85x elasticity, suggesting effective go-to-market execution.

Next FY Revenue

$3.81B

+10.1% YoY

SG&A Elasticity

0.85x

Model Accuracy

2.1% MAPE

Holdout validation: The model predicted $902B vs the actual $899B — an error of 0.3%.

Note: Idex Corp does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q4 2025	$902B	$899B	$855B – $951B	+4.5%	✓ In range
Q2 2026	$924B		$857B – $996B	+13.4%
Q3 2026	$942B		$859B – $1033B	+8.9%
Q4 2026	$961B		$864B – $1069B	+9.4%
Q1 2027	$981B		$871B – $1105B	+9.1%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Idex Corp's systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.

Fiscal Quarter	Seasonal Factor	vs Trend	Interpretation	Obs.
FQ1 (Sep–Nov)	0.9949	-0.5%	In line with trend	16
FQ2 (Dec–Feb)	0.9961	-0.4%	In line with trend	16
FQ3 (Mar–May)	0.9878	-1.2%	In line with trend	16
FQ4 (Jun–Aug)	1.0104	+1.0%	In line with trend	16

How Spending Drives Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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