Johnson & Johnson JNJ
Revenue Intelligence Report • 41 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
Johnson & Johnson's revenue is primarily driven by strategic spending in selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, with a robust return on investment of $3.50 in long-run revenue generated for every dollar spent. Despite a recent quarterly revenue of $24.6 billion, which reflected a 9.9% prediction error in our holdout test, the company's model accuracy stands at 3.8% MAPE, indicating reliable forecasting capabilities. Looking ahead, the fiscal year forecast projects a slight decline in revenue to $93 billion, representing a 0.9% year-over-year decrease. Investors should consider the company's solid revenue-generating model and its ability to maintain profitability amidst market fluctuations.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $22B | $25B | $20B – $24B | -1.7% | ✗ Outside range |
| Q1 2026 | $24B | $21B – $26B | +8.0% | ||
| Q2 2026 | $23B | $20B – $26B | -3.5% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $24B | $20B – $27B | -0.9% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $23B | $19B – $27B | -6.4% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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