Lyondellbasell Industries N.v. LYB

Revenue Intelligence Report • 60 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. demonstrates a strong revenue generation capability, with $1 of R&D spending yielding an impressive $200.81 in long-run revenue, while SG&A spending negatively impacts revenue by $7.55 per dollar spent. The company's latest quarterly revenue of $7.1 billion reflects a solid performance, although recent predictions fell short by 9.6%. With a fiscal year forecast projecting $35 billion in revenue, representing a 14.4% year-over-year increase, the outlook remains positive for investors focused on growth driven by effective R&D investment. The model's accuracy, with a 13.7% MAPE, supports confidence in these projections despite recent variances.

Next FY Revenue

$34.50B

+14.4% YoY

R&D Multiplier

$200.81 per $1

SG&A Multiplier

$-7.55 per $1

Model Accuracy

13.7% MAPE

Holdout validation: The model predicted $8B vs the actual $7B — an error of 9.6%.

⚠ Model limitation: This company shows negative spending multipliers, meaning increases in spending have not directly translated into revenue growth. This typically occurs with commodity-driven companies or hypergrowth companies.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q4 2025	$8B	$7B	$5B – $11B	-0.5%	✓ In range
Q2 2026	$8B		$5B – $12B	+9.5%
Q3 2026	$9B		$4B – $13B	+12.3%
Q4 2026	$9B		$3B – $14B	+12.7%
Q1 2027	$9B		$3B – $15B	+24.0%

How Spending Drives Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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