o Reilly Automotive Inc ORLY

Revenue Intelligence Report • 68 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

O'Reilly Automotive Inc. generates significant revenue driven primarily by its strategic spending on selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, with a robust return on investment of $4.13 in long-run revenue for every dollar spent. The company's latest quarterly revenue of $4.414 billion reflects a strong performance, with a forecasted annual revenue of $19 billion, representing an 8.8% year-over-year growth. Despite a slight prediction error of 2.2% in recent forecasts, the model's accuracy remains high at 2.0% MAPE, indicating reliable revenue projections. Investors can expect continued growth supported by effective cost management and a solid market position.

Next FY Revenue
$19.35B
+8.8% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$4.13 per $1
Model Accuracy
2.0% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $5B vs the actual $4B — an error of 2.2%.
Note: o Reilly Automotive Inc does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

ORLY Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $5B $4B $4B – $5B +10.1% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $5B $4B – $5B +11.2%
Q3 2026 $5B $5B – $5B +7.4%
Q4 2026 $5B $5B – $5B +5.4%
Q1 2027 $5B $5B – $5B +11.6%

How Spending Drives Revenue

ORLY Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

Want this analysis for your portfolio?

I build custom revenue intelligence reports for investors and companies using SEC filing data, econometric modeling, and AI-powered insights.

Get in Touch