Phillips 66 PSX

Revenue Intelligence Report • 60 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Phillips 66 has demonstrated strong revenue generation capabilities, with a latest quarterly revenue of $34.1 billion, driven primarily by effective management of selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, which yield a robust long-run revenue return of $9.21 for every dollar spent. The company's model accuracy, reflected in a 3.7% error in holdout tests, suggests reliable forecasting capabilities, although the FY forecast indicates a slight revenue decline of 3.7% year-over-year to $128 billion. Investors can expect a stable revenue stream supported by efficient spending strategies, despite the anticipated dip in overall revenue. Continued focus on operational efficiency will be crucial for maintaining competitive performance in the evolving market landscape.

Next FY Revenue
$127.51B
-3.7% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$9.21 per $1
Model Accuracy
11.7% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $33B vs the actual $34B — an error of 3.7%.
Note: Phillips 66 does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

PSX Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $33B $34B $25B – $41B -2.5% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $31B $20B – $43B +3.4%
Q3 2026 $32B $18B – $46B -5.0%
Q4 2026 $32B $16B – $48B -6.8%
Q1 2027 $32B $14B – $50B -5.6%

How Spending Drives Revenue

PSX Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

Want this analysis for your portfolio?

I build custom revenue intelligence reports for investors and companies using SEC filing data, econometric modeling, and AI-powered insights.

Get in Touch