Seagate Technology Holdings Plc STX
Revenue Intelligence Report • 50 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
Seagate Technology Holdings Plc's revenue is primarily driven by its strategic investments in research and development (R&D) and selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, with R&D yielding an impressive long-run return of $9.98 for every dollar spent, while SG&A generates $6.91. Despite a recent quarterly revenue of $2,825 million, the company is forecasting a decline to $9 billion for the fiscal year, reflecting a 5.5% year-over-year decrease. The model's accuracy shows a 6.8% mean absolute percentage error, with a holdout test predicting $2,510 million against the actual $2,825 million, indicating potential volatility in revenue projections. Investors should consider the strong ROI from spending but remain cautious about the anticipated revenue decline.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $3B | $3B | $2B – $3B | +15.8% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | $2B – $3B | +3.2% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $2B | $1B – $3B | +8.7% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $2B | $1B – $3B | -11.2% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $2B | $1B – $3B | -18.4% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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