Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. SWK

Revenue Intelligence Report • 57 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. demonstrates strong revenue generation capabilities, with a notable return on investment from its SG&A spending, where each dollar invested yields $6.20 in long-run revenue. The company reported a quarterly revenue of $3.685 billion, slightly below expectations, reflecting a -4.8% error in its holdout test. Despite this, the fiscal year forecast anticipates a revenue increase of 3.2% year-over-year, projecting total revenues of $16 billion. This outlook suggests a resilient business model poised for growth, driven by effective operational strategies and cost management.

Next FY Revenue

$15.62B

+3.2% YoY

SG&A Multiplier

$6.20 per $1

Model Accuracy

4.6% MAPE

Holdout validation: The model predicted $4B vs the actual $4B — an error of 4.8%.

Note: Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q4 2025	$4B	$4B	$4B – $4B	+3.8%	✓ In range
Q1 2026	$4B		$3B – $4B	+4.1%
Q2 2026	$4B		$3B – $4B	-1.1%
Q3 2026	$4B		$3B – $5B	+4.0%
Q4 2026	$4B		$3B – $5B	+6.2%

How Spending Drives Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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