Analog Devices, Inc. ADI

Revenue Intelligence Report • 64 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Analog Devices, Inc. demonstrates strong revenue growth driven primarily by its investments in research and development (R&D) and selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A), with elasticities of 0.52% and 1.27% respectively. The company's recent quarterly revenue of $3.16 billion reflects a solid return on investment from these expenditures, although the holdout test indicated an 11.7% prediction error. With a fiscal year forecast projecting $11 billion in revenue, representing a modest 0.2% year-over-year increase, the outlook remains stable, suggesting potential for continued growth as the company leverages its strategic spending. Investors can expect steady performance, supported by a disciplined approach to R&D and operational efficiency.

Next FY Revenue
$11.12B
+0.2% YoY
R&D Elasticity
0.52x
SG&A Elasticity
1.27x
Model Accuracy
3.7% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $3B vs the actual $3B — an error of 11.7%.

Revenue Forecast

ADI Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $3B $3B $3B – $3B +20.7% ✗ Outside range
Q1 2026 $3B $2B – $3B +16.4%
Q2 2026 $3B $2B – $3B +5.7%
Q3 2026 $3B $2B – $3B -4.1%
Q4 2026 $3B $2B – $3B -13.0%

How Spending Drives Revenue

ADI Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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