Autodesk, Inc. ADSK

Revenue Intelligence Report • 60 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Autodesk, Inc. demonstrates a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a projected FY forecast of $8 billion, reflecting a 14.2% year-over-year increase. The company's revenue is significantly influenced by its spending on sales, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, which yield a positive elasticity of 1.34%, while R&D investments show a negative elasticity of -2.56%. This indicates that while SG&A spending effectively drives revenue, R&D expenditures may need to be optimized to enhance returns. With a solid model accuracy of 2.5% MAPE and a recent holdout test predicting revenue closely aligned with actual results, Autodesk is positioned for continued growth and improved ROI on its strategic investments.

Next FY Revenue

$8.23B

+14.2% YoY

R&D Elasticity

-2.56x

SG&A Elasticity

1.34x

Model Accuracy

2.5% MAPE

Holdout validation: The model predicted $2B vs the actual $2B — an error of 2.4%.

⚠ Model limitation: This company shows negative spending multipliers, meaning increases in spending have not directly translated into revenue growth. This typically occurs with commodity-driven companies or hypergrowth companies.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q1 2026	$2B	$2B	$2B – $2B	+16.5%	✓ In range
Q2 2026	$2B		$2B – $2B	+20.1%
Q3 2026	$2B		$2B – $2B	+15.1%
Q4 2026	$2B		$2B – $2B	+12.7%
Q1 2027	$2B		$2B – $3B	+10.1%

How Spending Drives Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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