C.h. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. CHRW
Revenue Intelligence Report • 19 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15
C.h. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. has a forecasted full-year revenue of $4.5B, a -47.6% year-over-year change, based on 19 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include SG&A ($925.26 per $1). The ARDL model has 15.1% MAPE.
Investment Thesis
At 15.1% MAPE, the model captures C.h. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s broad revenue trajectory, though quarterly variability suggests sensitivity to external factors. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $925.26 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.
Next FY Revenue
$4.46B
-47.6% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$925.26 per $1
Model Accuracy
15.1% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $4.0B vs the actual $3.9B — an error of 1.3%.
Note:
C.h. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2017 | $4.0B | $3.9B | $3.2B – $4.7B | +18.5% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2018 | $0.0B | $-2.1B – $-0.0B | -100.0% | ||
| Q3 2018 | $0.0B | $-7.4B – $-4.8B | -100.0% | ||
| Q4 2018 | $3.2B | $1.7B – $4.7B | +435.9% | ||
| Q1 2019 | $1.3B | $-0.4B – $2.9B | -67.4% |
Seasonal Factors
Multiplicative seasonal adjustment:
These factors capture C.h. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model.
A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below.
Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
| Fiscal Quarter | Seasonal Factor | vs Trend | Interpretation | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FQ1 (Sep–Nov) | 0.9741 | -2.6% | In line with trend | 5 |
| FQ2 (Dec–Feb) | 1.0 | +0.0% | In line with trend | 0 |
| FQ3 (Mar–May) | 1.0195 | +1.9% | In line with trend | 6 |
| FQ4 (Jun–Aug) | 1.0282 | +2.8% | In line with trend | 5 |
How Spending Drives Revenue
Reading this chart:
Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.
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