The Clorox Company CLX

Revenue Intelligence Report • 47 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

The Clorox Company has a forecasted full-year revenue of $5.5B, a -14.9% year-over-year change, based on 47 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include R&D ($50.66 per $1) and SG&A ($4.21 per $1). The ARDL model achieves strong accuracy at 3.9% MAPE.

Investment Thesis

The econometric model achieves strong accuracy (3.9% MAPE), suggesting The Clorox Company's revenue trajectory is well-characterized by its spending patterns. Every $1 of R&D investment is associated with $50.66 of revenue, indicating efficient capital deployment in innovation. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $4.21 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.

Next FY Revenue
$5.49B
-14.9% YoY
R&D Multiplier
$50.66 per $1
SG&A Multiplier
$4.21 per $1
Model Accuracy
3.9% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $1.5B vs the actual $1.7B — an error of 8.2%.

Revenue Forecast

CLX Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $1.5B $1.7B $1.4B – $1.7B -12.8% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $1.5B $1.3B – $1.7B -12.1%
Q3 2026 $1.4B $1.1B – $1.7B -18.0%
Q4 2026 $1.3B $1.0B – $1.7B -5.6%
Q1 2027 $1.3B $0.9B – $1.7B -22.7%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture The Clorox Company's systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Sep–Nov) 1.0074 +0.7% In line with trend 14
FQ2 (Dec–Feb) 0.9955 -0.4% In line with trend 15
FQ3 (Mar–May) 1.0255 +2.6% In line with trend 14
FQ4 (Jun–Aug) 1.0 +0.0% In line with trend 0

How Spending Drives Revenue

CLX Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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