Centene Corporation CNC
Revenue Intelligence Report • 40 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
Centene Corporation's revenue is primarily driven by its strategic investments in selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, which exhibit a strong elasticity of 1.12%, indicating that even a modest increase in SG&A can lead to significant revenue growth. The company's recent performance shows a solid holdout test prediction accuracy, with a mere 2.9% error margin, reinforcing confidence in its revenue forecasting model. However, the FY forecast indicates a projected revenue decline of 5.2% year-over-year, suggesting potential challenges ahead. Investors should closely monitor the effectiveness of SG&A spending as a key driver of revenue performance in this evolving landscape.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $43B | $45B | $40B – $47B | +19.6% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $42B | $37B – $48B | -0.1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $42B | $36B – $49B | -2.0% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $41B | $34B – $49B | -8.8% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $40B | $33B – $49B | -9.6% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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