Dollar General Corporation DG
Revenue Intelligence Report • 31 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
Dollar General Corporation's revenue growth is significantly influenced by its strategic spending on selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, with a 1% increase in SG&A leading to a 0.76% rise in revenue, demonstrating a strong return on investment. Despite a recent holdout test indicating a slight revenue prediction error, the company's model accuracy remains robust at 2.5% MAPE. Looking ahead, the fiscal year forecast projects a revenue of $47 billion, reflecting an 11.5% year-over-year increase, signaling a positive growth trajectory for investors. Overall, the company’s focus on efficient spending and revenue elasticity positions it well for continued expansion in the competitive retail landscape.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $11B | $11B | $10B – $12B | +8.8% | ✓ In range |
| Q1 2026 | $11B | $10B – $12B | +10.2% | ||
| Q2 2026 | $12B | $10B – $13B | +11.3% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $12B | $10B – $14B | +10.7% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $12B | $10B – $14B | +13.8% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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