Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI

Revenue Intelligence Report • 19 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Darden Restaurants, Inc. has demonstrated strong revenue generation capabilities, with the latest quarterly revenue reaching $1,731 million, driven primarily by effective SG&A spending that yields an impressive long-run revenue return of $15.09 for every dollar invested. Despite a 6.7% MAPE in model accuracy, the company's holdout test predictions closely aligned with actual results, indicating robust forecasting capabilities. With a fiscal year forecast projecting $10 billion in revenue, reflecting a 48.9% year-over-year growth, the outlook remains positive for investors seeking growth opportunities in the restaurant sector. Overall, Darden's strategic spending and revenue growth trajectory present a compelling investment case.

Next FY Revenue
$9.68B
+48.9% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$15.09 per $1
Model Accuracy
6.7% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $2B vs the actual $2B — an error of 7.3%.
Note: Darden Restaurants, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

DRI Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q1 2015 $2B $2B $1B – $2B +8.0% ✓ In range
Q2 2015 $2B $2B – $2B +20.3%
Q3 2015 $2B $2B – $3B +38.6%
Q4 2015 $2B $2B – $3B +57.5%
Q1 2016 $3B $2B – $4B +77.2%

How Spending Drives Revenue

DRI Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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