General Electric Company GE

Revenue Intelligence Report • 24 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

R&D spending generates about $20.70 of long-run revenue per dollar spent, compared with about $4.07 per dollar from SG&A, indicating R&D is the dominant driver of sustainable growth. Latest quarterly revenue was $12.716B, supported by a data history of 24 quarters powering a linear model. In a holdout test, the model forecast $12B versus actual $13B (4.0% error), and the overall MAPE is 2.9%, reflecting solid forecast reliability. The FY revenue forecast is $57B, up 25.0% year over year, signaling a robust, R&D-driven growth trajectory ahead.

Investment Thesis

Our ARDL model tracks General Electric Company's revenue with exceptional precision (2.9% MAPE), indicating highly predictable cash flows. Every $1 of R&D investment is associated with $20.70 of revenue, indicating efficient capital deployment in innovation. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $4.07 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.

Next FY Revenue
$57.3B
+25.0% YoY
R&D Multiplier
$20.70 per $1
SG&A Multiplier
$4.07 per $1
Model Accuracy
2.9% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $12B vs the actual $13B — an error of 4.0%.

Revenue Forecast

GE Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $12B $13B $11B – $13B +12.9% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $13B $12B – $14B +30.9%
Q3 2026 $14B $13B – $16B +28.7%
Q4 2026 $15B $13B – $17B +21.1%
Q1 2027 $15B $13B – $17B +20.8%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture General Electric Company's systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Sep–Nov) 1.0018 +0.2% In line with trend 5
FQ2 (Dec–Feb) 1.0108 +1.1% In line with trend 5
FQ3 (Mar–May) 0.9947 -0.5% In line with trend 5
FQ4 (Jun–Aug) 1.0087 +0.9% In line with trend 5

How Spending Drives Revenue

GE Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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