Generac Holdings Inc. GNRC

Revenue Intelligence Report • 52 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Generac Holdings Inc. demonstrates a strong revenue generation model, with $1 of SG&A spending yielding $3.86 in long-run revenue, while R&D spending shows a negative return of $-20.12. The latest quarterly revenue of $1,092 million reflects a solid performance, and the company is forecasting a 17.8% year-over-year growth to reach $5 billion in revenue for the fiscal year. Despite a model accuracy of 9.1% MAPE and a holdout test showing a 3.0% prediction error, the outlook remains positive, driven primarily by effective SG&A investments. Investors should consider the company's strategic focus on optimizing spending to enhance revenue growth in the coming periods.

Next FY Revenue

$4.96B

+17.8% YoY

R&D Multiplier

$-20.12 per $1

SG&A Multiplier

$3.86 per $1

Model Accuracy

9.1% MAPE

Holdout validation: The model predicted $1B vs the actual $1B — an error of 3.0%.

⚠ Model limitation: This company shows negative spending multipliers, meaning increases in spending have not directly translated into revenue growth. This typically occurs with commodity-driven companies or hypergrowth companies.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q4 2025	$1B	$1B	$1B – $1B	-8.9%	✓ In range
Q2 2026	$1B		$1B – $1B	+22.4%
Q3 2026	$1B		$1B – $1B	+15.9%
Q4 2026	$1B		$1B – $2B	+14.4%
Q1 2027	$1B		$1B – $2B	+19.0%

How Spending Drives Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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