Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. IBKR

Revenue Intelligence Report • 8 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. demonstrates a strong correlation between its selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses and revenue growth, with a 1% increase in SG&A resulting in a 0.26% rise in revenue, highlighting the efficiency of its spending. Despite a holdout test showing a 5.8% error in revenue predictions, the company's model accuracy remains robust at 2.1% MAPE. For the fiscal year, the forecasted revenue of $2.733 billion reflects a healthy 12% year-over-year growth, indicating a positive outlook driven by effective cost management and strategic investments. Investors can expect continued revenue growth as the company leverages its operational efficiencies to capitalize on market opportunities.

Next FY Revenue
$2733.25M
+12.0% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
0.26x
Model Accuracy
2.1% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $628M vs the actual $667M — an error of 5.8%.
Note: Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

IBKR Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $628M $667M $587M – $672M +12.6% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $653M $594M – $718M +10.3%
Q3 2026 $675M $600M – $758M +16.7%
Q4 2026 $694M $607M – $794M +15.1%
Q1 2027 $712M $612M – $827M +6.7%

How Spending Drives Revenue

IBKR Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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