Match Group, Inc. MTCH

Revenue Intelligence Report • 66 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Match Group, Inc. continues to demonstrate strong revenue performance, with the latest quarterly revenue reaching $878 million and a forecasted full-year revenue of $4 billion, reflecting a 7.9% year-over-year growth. The company's revenue is primarily driven by effective investments in research and development, yielding a robust long-term return of $2.31 for every dollar spent, while selling, general, and administrative expenses provide a more modest return of $0.99 per dollar. With a model accuracy of 3.7% MAPE and a recent holdout test showing only a 1.5% error in revenue prediction, Match Group is well-positioned to leverage its spending strategies for sustained growth. Investors can expect continued revenue expansion as the company capitalizes on its strong ROI from R&D investments.

Next FY Revenue
$3.76B
+7.9% YoY
R&D Multiplier
$2.31 per $1
SG&A Multiplier
$0.98 per $1
Model Accuracy
3.7% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $1B vs the actual $1B — an error of 1.5%.

Revenue Forecast

MTCH Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $1B $1B $1B – $1B +3.6% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $1B $1B – $1B +11.2%
Q3 2026 $1B $1B – $1B +10.9%
Q4 2026 $1B $1B – $1B +1.6%
Q1 2027 $1B $1B – $1B +8.6%

How Spending Drives Revenue

MTCH Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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