Pentair Plc PNR

Revenue Intelligence Report • 66 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

Pentair Plc has a forecasted full-year revenue of $4.3B, a +3.2% year-over-year change, based on 66 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include R&D ($14.21 per $1) and SG&A ($4.45 per $1). The ARDL model has 6.7% MAPE.

Investment Thesis

The econometric model achieves strong accuracy (6.7% MAPE), suggesting Pentair Plc's revenue trajectory is well-characterized by its spending patterns. Every $1 of R&D investment is associated with $14.21 of revenue, indicating efficient capital deployment in innovation. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $4.45 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.

Next FY Revenue
$4.31B
+3.2% YoY
R&D Multiplier
$14.21 per $1
SG&A Multiplier
$4.45 per $1
Model Accuracy
6.7% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $1.0B vs the actual $1.0B — an error of 2.6%.

Revenue Forecast

PNR Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $1.0B $1.0B $0.9B – $1.2B +7.6% ✓ In range
Q1 2026 $1.0B $0.8B – $1.3B +2.6%
Q2 2026 $1.1B $0.8B – $1.4B -2.0%
Q3 2026 $1.1B $0.7B – $1.5B +5.6%
Q4 2026 $1.1B $0.7B – $1.5B +7.1%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Pentair Plc's systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Sep–Nov) 1.005 +0.5% In line with trend 16
FQ2 (Dec–Feb) 0.9621 -3.8% -3.8% below trend 16
FQ3 (Mar–May) 0.9918 -0.8% In line with trend 15
FQ4 (Jun–Aug) 1.0406 +4.1% +4.1% above trend 15

How Spending Drives Revenue

PNR Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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