Roper Technologies, Inc. ROP
Revenue Intelligence Report • 70 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15
Roper Technologies, Inc. has a forecasted full-year revenue of $8.6B, a +9.4% year-over-year change, based on 70 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include SG&A ($2.23 per $1). The ARDL model achieves strong accuracy at 3.3% MAPE.
Investment Thesis
The econometric model achieves strong accuracy (3.3% MAPE), suggesting Roper Technologies, Inc.'s revenue trajectory is well-characterized by its spending patterns. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $2.23 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.
Next FY Revenue
$8.65B
+9.4% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$2.23 per $1
Model Accuracy
3.3% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $2.1B vs the actual $2.1B — an error of 0.5%.
Note:
Roper Technologies, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | $2.1B | $2.0B – $2.1B | +10.2% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $2.1B | $2.0B – $2.2B | +11.9% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $2.1B | $2.0B – $2.3B | +10.0% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $2.2B | $2.0B – $2.3B | +8.0% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $2.2B | $2.0B – $2.4B | +8.1% |
Seasonal Factors
Multiplicative seasonal adjustment:
These factors capture Roper Technologies, Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model.
A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below.
Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
| Fiscal Quarter | Seasonal Factor | vs Trend | Interpretation | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FQ1 (Sep–Nov) | 1.025 | +2.5% | In line with trend | 17 |
| FQ2 (Dec–Feb) | 1.0284 | +2.8% | In line with trend | 17 |
| FQ3 (Mar–May) | 0.9663 | -3.4% | -3.4% below trend | 16 |
| FQ4 (Jun–Aug) | 1.005 | +0.5% | In line with trend | 16 |
How Spending Drives Revenue
Reading this chart:
Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.
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