Target Corporation TGT
Revenue Intelligence Report • 69 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
Target Corporation's revenue is primarily driven by its strategic spending on selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, which generate an impressive long-run return of $5.17 for every dollar invested. With a strong track record reflected in a 2.7% MAPE accuracy and a close holdout test prediction, the company demonstrates solid financial forecasting capabilities. For the fiscal year, Target is projecting a revenue of $103 billion, representing a slight decline of 1.7% year-over-year. Investors can expect a stable revenue generation model, although attention should be paid to market conditions that may affect future growth.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $25B | $25B | $23B – $26B | -3.9% | ✓ In range |
| Q1 2026 | $29B | $26B – $31B | -7.8% | ||
| Q2 2026 | $25B | $22B – $27B | +3.7% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $25B | $22B – $28B | +0.0% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $25B | $22B – $28B | -1.0% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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