Tapestry, Inc. TPR

Revenue Intelligence Report • 53 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Tapestry, Inc. demonstrates a strong relationship between its selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses and revenue growth, with a 1% increase in SG&A leading to a 0.56% rise in revenue, highlighting the effectiveness of its spending strategy. Despite a recent quarterly revenue of $2.5 billion, the company is forecasting a decline in annual revenue to $7 billion, reflecting an 11.5% year-over-year decrease. The model's accuracy, with a 5.2% MAPE and a holdout test error of 6.2%, indicates a reliable predictive capability, yet investors should remain cautious about the anticipated revenue contraction. Overall, while Tapestry's spending efficiency shows promise, the current outlook suggests challenges ahead that could impact future growth.

Next FY Revenue
$7.07B
-11.5% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
0.56x
Model Accuracy
5.2% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $2B vs the actual $3B — an error of 6.2%.
Note: Tapestry, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

TPR Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $2B $3B $2B – $3B +55.8% ✓ In range
Q1 2026 $2B $1B – $2B -25.7%
Q2 2026 $2B $1B – $2B +6.9%
Q3 2026 $2B $2B – $3B +30.5%
Q4 2026 $2B $1B – $2B -39.4%

How Spending Drives Revenue

TPR Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

Want this analysis for your portfolio?

I build custom revenue intelligence reports for investors and companies using SEC filing data, econometric modeling, and AI-powered insights.

Get in Touch