Trimble Inc. TRMB

Revenue Intelligence Report • 57 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Trimble Inc. demonstrates a strong relationship between its investments in research and development (R&D) and selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A), with elasticities of 1.42% and 0.76% respectively, indicating that these expenditures are effective drivers of revenue growth. Despite a projected revenue decline of 2.1% year-over-year to $3.514 billion, the company's historical performance shows resilience, with a recent quarterly revenue of $970 million, albeit with a holdout test error of 6.0%. The model's accuracy, reflected in a 3.6% MAPE, suggests a reliable forecasting capability, though investors should remain cautious of potential revenue fluctuations. Overall, while the outlook shows a slight contraction, the company's strategic spending on R&D and SG&A positions it for future growth opportunities.

Next FY Revenue
$3513.53M
-2.1% YoY
R&D Elasticity
1.42x
SG&A Elasticity
0.76x
Model Accuracy
3.6% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $912M vs the actual $970M — an error of 6.0%.

Revenue Forecast

TRMB Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q1 2026 $912M $970M $834M – $996M -7.3% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $898M $792M – $1017M +6.8%
Q3 2026 $885M $759M – $1031M +1.0%
Q4 2026 $872M $730M – $1041M -3.3%
Q1 2027 $859M $705M – $1047M -11.4%

How Spending Drives Revenue

TRMB Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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