Verisign Inc/Ca VRSN

Revenue Intelligence Report • 54 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15

Verisign Inc/Ca has a forecasted full-year revenue of $1.4B, a +8.0% year-over-year change, based on 54 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include R&D ($6.33 per $1) and SG&A ($2.00 per $1). The ARDL model achieves strong accuracy at 2.9% MAPE.

Investment Thesis

Our ARDL model tracks Verisign Inc/Ca's revenue with exceptional precision (2.9% MAPE), indicating highly predictable cash flows. Every $1 of R&D investment is associated with $6.33 of revenue, indicating efficient capital deployment in innovation. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $2.00 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.

Next FY Revenue
$1.43B
+8.0% YoY
R&D Multiplier
$6.33 per $1
SG&A Multiplier
$2.00 per $1
Model Accuracy
2.9% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $345B vs the actual $340B — an error of 1.3%.

Revenue Forecast

VRSN Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2021 $345B $340B $330B – $359B +7.6% ✓ In range
Q2 2022 $351B $331B – $372B +8.6%
Q3 2022 $357B $332B – $383B +8.5%
Q4 2022 $361B $331B – $390B +7.9%
Q1 2023 $365B $332B – $398B +7.3%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture Verisign Inc/Ca's systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Sep–Nov) 0.9891 -1.1% In line with trend 13
FQ2 (Dec–Feb) 0.9926 -0.7% In line with trend 13
FQ3 (Mar–May) 1.0008 +0.1% In line with trend 12
FQ4 (Jun–Aug) 1.0142 +1.4% In line with trend 12

How Spending Drives Revenue

VRSN Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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