The Cooper Companies, Inc. COO

Revenue Intelligence Report • 69 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-10-14 • Data through 2026-07-31

The Cooper Companies, Inc.'s latest quarterly revenue is $1.1B for the period ending 2026-07-31. The model projects $4.4B across the next four quarters (+4.1% versus the preceding four quarters). The forecast uses SG&A data; model selection and estimation exclude the latest quarter, whose retrospective holdout error is 1.1%. These are statistical associations, not estimates of the causal effect of spending.

Investment Thesis

The GAM forecast is based on reported revenue and SG&A data through 2026-07-31. Training MAPE measures fit to historical data; the separately reported holdout error measures a withheld quarter. Spending coefficients describe associations and do not establish causation.

Next 4 Quarters
$4.41B
+4.1% YoY
R&D Multiplier
$-0.11 per $1
SG&A Multiplier
$2.43 per $1
Training Fit
2.7% MAPE
Retrospective holdout (Q3 FY2026): The model predicted $1.08B vs the actual $1.07B — an error of 1.1%.
Retrospective one-quarter holdout: model fitting and selection exclude this quarter. Historical inputs use the latest available restatements, so this is not a preserved real-time forecast.
⚠ Model limitation: One or more estimated spending associations are negative. These observational coefficients do not establish a causal return on spending.

Revenue Forecast

COO Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q3 FY2026
Period end 2026-07-31		 $1.08B $1.07B $971.7M–$1.20B +1.7% ✓ In range
Q4 FY2026
Period end 2026-10-31		 $1.08B $970.8M–$1.21B +1.8%
Q1 FY2027
Period end 2027-01-31		 $1.07B $951.5M–$1.21B +4.9%
Q2 FY2027
Period end 2027-04-30		 $1.15B $984.5M–$1.34B +6.0%
Q3 FY2027
Period end 2027-07-31		 $1.11B $958.0M–$1.28B +3.7%

Seasonal Factors

Multiplicative seasonal adjustment: These factors capture The Cooper Companies, Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model. A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below. Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
Fiscal QuarterSeasonal Factorvs TrendInterpretationObs.
FQ1 (Nov–Jan) 0.9891 -1.1% In line with trend 17
FQ2 (Feb–Apr) 0.9937 -0.6% In line with trend 17
FQ3 (May–Jul) 1.0267 +2.7% In line with trend 17
FQ4 (Aug–Oct) 1.0068 +0.7% In line with trend 17

Spending and Revenue

COO Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue association per $1 of spending over subsequent quarters. These estimates describe historical associations and do not establish causation.

Time-Varying Spending Associations

Time-varying analysis: A penalized spline model (GAM) tracks the association between log spending and log revenue over 69 quarters. Its coefficients describe conditional historical associations, not causal returns on spending.
Current SG&A elasticity: 0.1399x • R&D elasticity: -0.0533x
The model-term chart shows relative absolute term magnitudes. Its percentages are not shares of revenue or causal contributions to growth.
Enhanced forecast: The time-varying model (GAM) was selected using training fit, before evaluating the withheld quarter. Its holdout error is 1.1%.

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Data sourced from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings. SEC source data. Forecast model: GAM; spending associations: ARDL (linear) with 69 quarters. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

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