Costco Wholesale Corp /New COST
Revenue Intelligence Report • 47 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06
Costco Wholesale Corp's revenue growth is primarily driven by strategic increases in selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A), which have demonstrated a strong elasticity effect, yielding a 1.07% revenue increase for every 1% rise in SG&A. The company's recent quarterly revenue of $67.3 billion reflects its robust operational model, despite a 6.8% error in holdout testing, indicating room for improvement in predictive accuracy. With a fiscal year forecast projecting $281 billion in revenue, representing an 11.7% year-over-year growth, Costco is well-positioned for continued expansion. Investors can expect a favorable return on investment as the company effectively leverages its spending to drive sales growth.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $63B | $67B | $60B – $65B | +8.5% | ✗ Outside range |
| Q1 2026 | $68B | $64B – $72B | +16.4% | ||
| Q2 2026 | $67B | $63B – $73B | +8.5% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $73B | $67B – $79B | +14.8% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $73B | $66B – $80B | +7.9% |
How Spending Drives Revenue
Want this analysis for your portfolio?
I build custom revenue intelligence reports for investors and companies using SEC filing data, econometric modeling, and AI-powered insights.
Get in Touch