Deere & Co DE

Revenue Intelligence Report • 53 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Deere & Co's revenue growth is significantly driven by its investments in research and development, which yield a 0.52% increase in revenue for every 1% increase in spending, alongside a robust return from selling, general, and administrative expenses that generate a 1.08% revenue increase per 1% increase. With a strong model accuracy reflected in a 4.9% MAPE and a recent holdout test indicating only a 2.4% prediction error, the company demonstrates reliable forecasting capabilities. Looking ahead, Deere is projected to achieve $50 billion in revenue for the fiscal year, marking a 17.2% year-over-year growth, underscoring a positive outlook for financial investors. The strategic allocation of resources suggests a solid return on investment, positioning the company favorably in the market.

Next FY Revenue
$50.26B
+17.2% YoY
R&D Elasticity
0.52x
SG&A Elasticity
1.08x
Model Accuracy
4.9% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $10B vs the actual $10B — an error of 2.4%.

Revenue Forecast

DE Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $10B $10B $9B – $11B -25.1% ✓ In range
Q1 2026 $13B $11B – $15B +49.4%
Q2 2026 $13B $10B – $15B -2.0%
Q3 2026 $11B $9B – $15B -4.4%
Q4 2026 $14B $10B – $18B +41.0%

How Spending Drives Revenue

DE Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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