Emcor Group, Inc. EME

Revenue Intelligence Report • 66 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Emcor Group, Inc. demonstrates a strong correlation between its spending on selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses and revenue growth, with a 1% increase in SG&A leading to a 0.93% rise in revenue, showcasing effective resource allocation. The company's recent quarterly revenue reached $4.513 billion, reflecting its robust operational performance and a solid holdout test prediction accuracy of 0.0% error. With a fiscal year forecast projecting $19 billion in revenue, representing a 14.6% year-over-year increase, Emcor is well-positioned for continued growth and strong returns on investment for financial stakeholders. The model's accuracy, with a 2.2% mean absolute percentage error, further supports confidence in the company's financial outlook.

Next FY Revenue
$19.47B
+14.6% YoY
SG&A Elasticity
0.93x
Model Accuracy
2.2% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $5B vs the actual $5B — an error of 0.0%.
Note: Emcor Group, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

EME Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

QuarterModel ForecastActual95% RangeYoY GrowthStatus
Q4 2025 $5B $5B $4B – $5B +19.7% ✓ In range
Q2 2026 $5B $4B – $5B +19.4%
Q3 2026 $5B $4B – $5B +11.1%
Q4 2026 $5B $4B – $6B +14.8%
Q1 2027 $5B $5B – $6B +13.5%

How Spending Drives Revenue

EME Spending Timing
Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative elasticity — how a 1% increase in spending translates to revenue growth over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments compound.

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