Hasbro, Inc. HAS
Revenue Intelligence Report • 57 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15
Hasbro, Inc. has a forecasted full-year revenue of $6.5B, a +21.7% year-over-year change, based on 57 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include R&D (elasticity 2.11x) and SG&A (elasticity 1.60x). The ARDL model has 16.6% MAPE.
Investment Thesis
At 16.6% MAPE, the model captures Hasbro, Inc.'s broad revenue trajectory, though quarterly variability suggests sensitivity to external factors. R&D investment shows a 2.11x multiplier — each 1% increase in R&D spend is associated with a 2.11% revenue increase, signaling strong innovation-to-revenue conversion. Sales & marketing spend shows a 1.60x elasticity, suggesting effective go-to-market execution.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.0B – $2.2B | +14.8% | ✓ In range |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | $0.7B – $2.2B | +25.4% | ||
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | $0.8B – $3.4B | +48.1% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $1.8B | $0.8B – $4.0B | +13.2% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $1.8B | $0.7B – $4.4B | +9.4% |
Seasonal Factors
| Fiscal Quarter | Seasonal Factor | vs Trend | Interpretation | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FQ1 (Sep–Nov) | 1.0162 | +1.6% | In line with trend | 15 |
| FQ2 (Dec–Feb) | 1.0683 | +6.8% | +6.8% above trend | 9 |
| FQ3 (Mar–May) | 0.9559 | -4.4% | -4.4% below trend | 15 |
| FQ4 (Jun–Aug) | 0.995 | -0.5% | In line with trend | 15 |
How Spending Drives Revenue
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