Rollins, Inc. ROL
Revenue Intelligence Report • 62 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-15
Rollins, Inc. has a forecasted full-year revenue of $4.5B, a +18.5% year-over-year change, based on 62 quarters of SEC filing data. Key revenue drivers include SG&A ($3.64 per $1). The ARDL model has 25342.5% MAPE.
Investment Thesis
At 25342.5% MAPE, the model captures Rollins, Inc.'s broad revenue trajectory, though quarterly variability suggests sensitivity to external factors. Each $1 of SG&A spending generates $3.64 in revenue, reflecting strong commercial efficiency.
Next FY Revenue
$4.46B
+18.5% YoY
SG&A Multiplier
$3.64 per $1
Model Accuracy
25342.5% MAPE
Holdout validation: The model predicted $1.0B vs the actual $0.9B — an error of 6.8%.
Note:
Rollins, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.
Revenue Forecast
Quarterly Detail
| Quarter | Model Forecast | Actual | 95% Range | YoY Growth | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $1.0B | $0.9B | $0.9B – $1.1B | +17.2% | ✓ In range |
| Q2 2026 | $1.0B | $0.9B – $1.2B | +25.7% | ||
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | $0.9B – $1.3B | +9.2% | ||
| Q4 2026 | $1.1B | $0.9B – $1.4B | +11.2% | ||
| Q1 2027 | $1.2B | $1.0B – $1.4B | +30.6% |
Seasonal Factors
Multiplicative seasonal adjustment:
These factors capture Rollins, Inc.'s systematic quarterly revenue patterns relative to the trend model.
A factor of 1.05 means that quarter typically runs 5% above the underlying trend; 0.95 means 5% below.
Factors are computed as the median of (actual / fitted) across all available quarters.
| Fiscal Quarter | Seasonal Factor | vs Trend | Interpretation | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FQ1 (Sep–Nov) | 0.9792 | -2.1% | In line with trend | 15 |
| FQ2 (Dec–Feb) | 0.9937 | -0.6% | In line with trend | 10 |
| FQ3 (Mar–May) | 0.9626 | -3.7% | -3.7% below trend | 13 |
| FQ4 (Jun–Aug) | 1.0279 | +2.8% | In line with trend | 14 |
How Spending Drives Revenue
Reading this chart:
Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.
Want this analysis for your portfolio?
I build custom revenue intelligence reports for investors and companies using SEC filing data, econometric modeling, and AI-powered insights.
Get in Touch