Ross Stores, Inc. ROST

Revenue Intelligence Report • 67 quarters of SEC filing data • Updated 2026-03-06

Ross Stores, Inc. demonstrates strong revenue generation capabilities, with each dollar of SG&A spending yielding an impressive $6.15 in long-run revenue. Despite a recent quarterly revenue of $5.6 billion, the company is forecasting a slight decline to $22 billion for the fiscal year, reflecting a 2.1% year-over-year decrease. The model accuracy of 5.5% MAPE indicates reliable forecasting, although recent predictions have shown a notable error margin. Investors should closely monitor the effectiveness of SG&A investments and overall market conditions as the company navigates this challenging environment.

Next FY Revenue

$21.57B

-2.1% YoY

SG&A Multiplier

$6.15 per $1

Model Accuracy

5.5% MAPE

Holdout validation: The model predicted $5B vs the actual $6B — an error of 11.7%.

Note: Ross Stores, Inc. does not report R&D expenses separately. This analysis uses SG&A spending only.

Revenue Forecast

Quarterly Detail

Quarter	Model Forecast	Actual	95% Range	YoY Growth	Status
Q4 2025	$5B	$6B	$4B – $5B	-2.5%	✗ Outside range
Q1 2026	$6B		$5B – $6B	-6.0%
Q2 2026	$5B		$4B – $6B	+4.5%
Q3 2026	$6B		$5B – $7B	+0.4%
Q4 2026	$5B		$4B – $6B	-6.2%

How Spending Drives Revenue

Reading this chart: Each line shows the cumulative revenue generated per $1 spent over subsequent quarters. The effect builds over 4-5 quarters as investments mature.

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